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The SCOfficial 2014-15 Winter Outlook

SCO Winter Outlook Team

Nov 15, 2018

The SCOfficial 2018-19 Winter Outlook

In our previous post, we described the atmospheric patterns that could affect the northern hemisphere jet streams — and therefore our weather — this winter. To recap, an emerging El Niño is likely to have the greatest impact, with wetter-than-normal conditions expected due to its strengthening of the subtropical jet stream. One ENSO-related wildcard is…

Nov 16, 2017

The SCOfficial 2017-18 Winter Outlook

If you don’t trust the likes of weather folklore with your winter forecast, here’s a closer look at some environmental factors that might influence our weather this winter, followed by some past years with similar conditions, then our office’s winter outlook. Current Conditions El Niño-Southern Oscillation This summer, sea surface temperatures in the central equatorial…

Nov 17, 2016

The SCOfficial 2016-17 Winter Outlook

This is the third and final part of our 2016-17 Winter Outlook series including our expectations for this winter. Freezing temperatures finally arrived across much of the state within the past week, which means that winter is on its way. What sort of weather can we expect in North Carolina? In this post, we’ll review…

Nov 23, 2015

The SCOfficial 2015-16 Winter Outlook

This year’s Winter Outlook series concludes with the official outlook from our office. Over the past two weeks, we’ve laid out the puzzle pieces for this year’s Winter Outlook. Now we’re ready to put them together and outline our predictions for the coming winter. First, let’s review the background from our Outlook posts so far:…

Nov 24, 2014

The SCOfficial 2014-15 Winter Outlook

This is the final part of our 2014-15 winter outlook series, featuring our office’s official forecast for the coming winter. Before we get to our outlook, let’s recap the current state of the atmosphere, specifically in the Pacific Ocean and factors that could shape the polar jet stream. We will also look some past years…