Short-Range Outlook for October 2026

The first weekend of October is set to see a significant rain event across North Carolina, followed by a few weeks of fall-like weather. The late-month precipitation outlook is less certain, with the potential for either dry weather or the first local impacts of El NiƱo emerging.

The graphic below summarizes the current outlook for October. Also view it as a PDF or on our outlooks archive.

The Short-Range Outlook for North Carolina for October 1 to 28, 2026